The Afghanistan Sinkhole

An interesting phenomenon is taking place across the globe. Even as most of Europe is bitterly criticizing the US ‘s ill-conceived exit from Afghanistan, leaders around the world are conceding that nothing of any great substance can occur on the world stage without US influence and participation. And some leaders are not being as critical as they might be regarding Joe Biden’s performance during the withdrawal of troops in Afghanistan.

The desire to end the occupation by the presidents after George W. Bush, and even and now Joe Biden, is warranted. How long could the US justify the loss of American lives and treasure? Isn’t 20 years enough of a commitment? Comments that America is walking away from its allies are nonsense. What were these critics doing to support the US in Afghanistan militarily? Practically nothing, so they have a little credibility in a debate about Afghanistan.

 The most questionable American mistakes were to assume that the Afghan government could be democratic;  it could be governed without a lasting treaty with the Taliban; and a treaty was feasible. The Taliban is a rogue and decentralized terrorist organization that will surely convince observers that they cannot come together to build a nation. There was no way the group would ever lay down their weapons and help form a coalition to rule the country with the previous Afghan president, an American puppet.

No. The decision to desert a nation with no moral compass, a history of persecuting many groups including women, religions other than Islam and excessive human rights violations was wise. The amateurs in the White House and demure military leaders hampered the withdrawal by the president.

The strategy should have been to evacuate US citizens first, Afghans who aided the US next and then the troops. The US military must be vibrant to orchestrate a successful evacuation and be ready to use force if necessary. Biden was trying to implement a plan that most Americans support, but he blew the execution.

Afghanistan is not a salvageable place.  It is the Wild West of Asia. The Taliban won’t ever be able to negotiate successfully with each other, much less the rest of the world. Putin would be insane to get back into the fray after Russia’s horrible experience in the country. Correspondingly, China is not going to spend a lot of effort courting Afghans after observing the challenges of all invaders in Afghanistan over the centuries, and mostly the US and Russia.

The key question is how will the international community of nations deal with the terrorist groups that are encouraged to train and multiply in Afghanistan. How is the Taliban going to be policed? For sure, military intervention will be needed to root out groups that muster in Afghanistan and wish to create havoc elsewhere.

This is where American leadership becomes very important not only for the US, but for Europe, the Middle East and even the Far East. There is no way Europeans would spend the money necessary to finance armed forces needed to deal with violence that emanates from Afghanistan. NATO and the UN desperately need US military might to keep Afghanistan from growing into a very dangerous source of terrorism.

The US and Biden have a real opportunity to establish a global response to terrorism led by America. It would be wise to move quickly in this regard because the Taliban will be very busy asserting their power and slicing up the economic pie in their country. There will likely be a short period of time when righteous countries can do things to protect their interests in Afghanistan.

It should be noted that I am not sanguine that Joe Biden will be able to lead our effort. He has proven to be inept while under the fire since he has been in power. Afghanistan, the southern boarder of the US and infrastructure legislation are areas where Biden has not distinguished himself.

An interesting phenomenon is taking place across the globe. Even as most of Europe is bitterly criticizing the US ‘s ill-conceived exit from Afghanistan, leaders around the world are conceding that nothing of any great substance can occur on the world stage without US influence and participation. And some leaders are not being as critical as they might be regarding Joe Biden’s performance during the withdrawal of troops in Afghanistan.

The desire to end the occupation by the presidents after George W. Bush, and even and now Joe Biden, is warranted. How long could the US justify the loss of American lives and treasure? Isn’t 20 years enough of a commitment? Comments that America is walking away from its allies are nonsense. What were these critics doing to support the US in Afghanistan militarily? Practically nothing, so they have a little credibility in a debate about Afghanistan.

 The most questionable American mistakes were to assume that the Afghan government could be democratic;  it could be governed without a lasting treaty with the Taliban; and a treaty was feasible. The Taliban is a rogue and decentralized terrorist organization that will surely convince observers that they cannot come together to build a nation. There was no way the group would ever lay down their weapons and help form a coalition to rule the country with the previous Afghan president, an American puppet.

No. The decision to desert a nation with no moral compass, a history of persecuting many groups including women, religions other than Islam and excessive human rights violations was wise. The amateurs in the White House and demure military leaders hampered the withdrawal by the president.

The strategy should have been to evacuate US citizens first, Afghans who aided the US next and then the troops. The US military must be vibrant to orchestrate a successful evacuation and be ready to use force if necessary. Biden was trying to implement a plan that most Americans support, but he blew the execution.

Afghanistan is not a salvageable place.  It is the Wild West of Asia. The Taliban won’t ever be able to negotiate successfully with each other, much less the rest of the world. Putin would be insane to get back into the fray after Russia’s horrible experience in the country. Correspondingly, China is not going to spend a lot of effort courting Afghans after observing the challenges of all invaders in Afghanistan over the centuries, and mostly the US and Russia.

The key question is how will the international community of nations deal with the terrorist groups that are encouraged to train and multiply in Afghanistan. How is the Taliban going to be policed? For sure, military intervention will be needed to root out groups that muster in Afghanistan and wish to create havoc elsewhere.

This is where American leadership becomes very important not only for the US, but for Europe, the Middle East and even the Far East. There is no way Europeans would spend the money necessary to finance armed forces needed to deal with violence that emanates from Afghanistan. NATO and the UN desperately need US military might to keep Afghanistan from growing into a very dangerous source of terrorism.

The US and Biden have a real opportunity to establish a global response to terrorism led by America. It would be wise to move quickly in this regard because the Taliban will be very busy asserting their power and slicing up the economic pie in their country. There will likely be a short period of time when righteous countries can do things to protect their interests in Afghanistan.

It should be noted that I am not sanguine that Joe Biden will be able to lead our effort. He has proven to be inept while under the fire since he has been in power. Afghanistan, the southern boarder of the US and infrastructure legislation are areas where Biden has not distinguished himself.

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