Donald Trump continues to congratulate himself for ending the Iranian war. Most people in the know have already branded the ceasefire a short-term peace arrangement. Experts are saying that the deal will have a long-term impact on Middle East diplomacy along with huge military expenditures for the foreseeable future.
What the US negotiators should never lose sight of is that Iran has violated every peace treaty it signed since the ayatollahs took control of the country several decades ago. What does this mean for the current negotiations?
It means that Iran is ruled by a pack of liars who have no desire to live in peace with other Arab countries. The government is a theocracy in which all men other than Iranians are sinners and do not have the right to a peaceful existence.
The minute that Iran has any cash it will use it to fund its proxies that have done Iran’s dirty work for years. So, if Iran turns a profit from drilling, from processing oil or transporting oil, it will use the money for evil intents.
How will the US be able to monitor all the different sources of cash that Iran will soon be tapping? The answer is that the US will have no idea how much cash Iran has. Will Iran allow US forensic analysts entree into the country to measure cash flow? I doubt it.
Even worse, Iran will surely get back to building a nuclear weapon as soon as possible. Just like in the past, Iran nuclear scientists will not give US analysts the free reign they need to predict whether a nuclear weapon is a feasible objective for the Iranians. Will the US start bombing Iran once again if the US or Israel receives evidence that Iran is busy building a nuclear weapon? Keep in mind, there is no telling what Iran would do with a nuclear weapon if they can successfully build it. The ayatollahs are likely to support use of weapons of mass destruction to increase their regime’s longevity.
I can see it now. The next U.S. President receives intel that Iran has a secret site that is being used to build a nuclear weapon. Will the president unleash another series of strikes that target weapons and the leaders that supported the action? Will the US be perpetually at war with Iran?
The only feasible fix to the Iranian situation is to bomb Iran out of existence and support a regime change that includes leaders that will agree not to build a nuclear weapon.
In the meantime, the US military will be on high alert as the situation unfolds. This will be a costly effort equal to using ground troops to enforce a mandate to keep Iran without a nuclear weapon.